Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.188959 0.217441 0.249945 0.290038 0.338508 0.395657 0.468794
2025-06-01 0.143105 0.178914 0.224368 0.287357 0.374110 0.492044 0.669290
2025-06-08 0.115585 0.153143 0.204579 0.282306 0.400755 0.581596 0.893919
2025-06-15 0.100974 0.140210 0.197401 0.290399 0.445284 0.708249 1.227558
2025-06-22 0.087259 0.125515 0.183989 0.284681 0.464801 0.798935 1.540956
2025-06-29 0.078518 0.116570 0.177290 0.287543 0.498619 0.925732 1.995652
2025-07-06 0.070438 0.107314 0.168286 0.284049 0.519011 1.032576 2.471076
2025-07-13 0.065276 0.102000 0.164892 0.289779 0.558947 1.197279 3.220231
2025-07-20 0.061063 0.097667 0.162428 0.296584 0.602956 1.390799 4.229941
2025-07-27 0.057343 0.093683 0.159926 0.302669 0.647093 1.605870 5.548955
2025-08-03 0.054349 0.090609 0.158636 0.310978 0.699299 1.871930 7.434366
2025-08-10 0.051134 0.086746 0.155237 0.313883 0.738574 2.120583 9.647039
2025-08-17 0.048012 0.082796 0.151290 0.315169 0.775390 2.389817 12.566179
2025-08-24 0.044921 0.078604 0.146341 0.313233 0.803019 2.647447 16.097125
2025-08-31 0.041885 0.074220 0.140448 0.307872 0.818884 2.871978 20.095709
2025-09-07 0.040285 0.072541 0.140177 0.316968 0.885245 3.378048 28.979767
2025-09-14 0.037717 0.068643 0.134515 0.310608 0.897039 3.633234 36.331933
2025-09-21 0.036041 0.066444 0.132443 0.313805 0.944988 4.131307 50.924554
2025-09-28 0.034062 0.063431 0.128145 0.309909 0.965328 4.496450 66.730880
2025-10-05 0.032867 0.061991 0.127391 0.316301 1.029616 5.221643 101.366640
2025-10-12 0.031822 0.060778 0.127040 0.323897 1.103043 6.121500 162.482227
2025-10-19 0.030799 0.059527 0.126449 0.330692 1.176967 7.154370 269.864583
2025-10-26 0.029960 0.058613 0.126598 0.339979 1.268045 8.520155 497.599037